S&P Global Commodity Insights

Top 10 questions for global oil markets and mobility in 2025

In today's rapidly evolving refined products commodity markets, companies face significant challenges such as the rise of electric vehicle adoption impacting traditional refining fuels, the emergence of new refining capacities, shifting trade flows, and geopolitical or weather-related supply disruptions. To stay competitive, it's essential to diversify into alternative products like petrochemicals, jet fuel, and biofuels, while optimizing operational strategies for margin protection. Companies must also adapt to new trade dynamics to uncover market opportunities and understand how disruptions affect freight costs and crude availability. Equip your business with the insights needed to navigate these complexities effectively.

This report covers: 

  • Trump’s market: What influence will the new US Administration exert on oil markets?
  • How long will OPEC+ continue to supply at current levels?
  • Will Iran’s oil exports decline because of US sanctions enforcement?
  • Will China’s crude oil demand peak in 2025–26?
  • Will electric vehicle adoption rates in Europe and the US resume meaningful growth in 2025?
  • After a period of stability, are oil prices headed for a breakout?
  • North American oil production: Continued growth or retrenchment?
  • How would an end to the war in Ukraine affect Russian oil flows?
  • How will the capacity additions from Dangote and Olmeca refineries reshape the Atlantic Basin crude markets?
  • Will interconnected wars lead to direct military confrontation among major powers?

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